The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, Google rose more than 5%, and the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.35%, the Nasdaq down 0.25%, and the S&P 500 index down 0.30%. Chinese stocks fell collectively, with the China ETF falling nearly 13% when it tripled its wealth, and the Nasdaq China Jinlong Index falling more than 4%. Chip stocks generally fell, Micron Technology fell nearly 5%, Broadcom and TSMC fell nearly 4%, Intel fell more than 3%, and NVIDIA and Qualcomm fell nearly 3%. Oracle Bone Inscriptions fell by 6.68%, and its revenue in the second quarter and performance guidance in this quarter fell short of expectations. Google rose by 5.59%, and the company launched the latest quantum chip "Willow" to achieve a major technological breakthrough.Since the beginning of this year, six small and medium-sized banks have "refused to redeem" tier-2 capital bonds. On December 9, Yingkou Bank Co., Ltd. announced that when the 10-year tier-2 capital bonds issued by the bank in 2019 had expired, the bank chose not to redeem the bonds. In fact, a number of commercial banks have announced this year that they will not exercise the right to redeem secondary capital bonds, mainly small and medium-sized banks. The insiders believe that there are two main reasons why banks choose not to redeem secondary capital bonds. First, it is difficult for banks to refinance and issue capital replenishment tools due to factors such as high cost of new bonds and declining profitability. Second, the bank's capital adequacy ratio has been at a low level, and some banks' capital adequacy ratio has been lower than the regulatory requirements before redemption, and the capital level may further decline after exercising the redemption right. (Securities Daily)CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.
Since December, overseas institutions have investigated 28 listed companies, focusing on three major industries. According to statistics, 32 overseas institutions have investigated 28 listed companies in the past seven trading days since December. Among them, Lubomai Fund has the largest number of research companies, and has investigated 3 listed companies, including Steady Medical, Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank and Weike Technology. In addition, four overseas institutions, including Manulife Finance, Boyu Capital and Leiya Investment, respectively investigated two listed companies. In terms of industries, overseas institutions mainly favor automobile, computer and mechanical equipment, with four research companies each, followed by electronics, food and beverage, medicine and biology, with two listed companies each being investigated by overseas institutions. According to statistics, Huichuan Technology, Desai Siwei, Hanzhong Seiki and Angang are the most concerned by overseas institutions, with 30, 8, 7 and 7 researchers respectively. According to the research activities, overseas institutions are mainly concerned about the competitive advantages of listed companies, the progress of internationalization, and the situation of reducing costs and increasing efficiency. (Securities Times)The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The commander of the Syrian rebels said that his troops had completely taken control of the Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor.
Market information: US federal judge blocked Kroger's $24.6 billion acquisition of Albertsons.CEO of Ferrari: We have seen opportunities in different countries, but we need to grow at the right speed. We still plan to launch (the first) electric vehicles in 2025.Japanese Reuters's short-term non-manufacturing boom judgment index in December is 30, with the previous value of 19; Reuters's short-term judgment index of manufacturing prosperity in December was -1, with the previous value of 5.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
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